well mission accomplished I guess...I drank a bunch of brews and watched my team win while my fantasy team lost! I can honestly say I'm not very upset, in fact more along the lines of fuck yeah go niners!
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NFL 2014
- Thread starter whadeezlrg
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fuckin pony boys are goin down on sunday!
Miraculous Meds
Well-known member
ahh. ur just high.
yeah, but what does that have to do with anything? the bronco's are gonna get beat.
loving how our D has been sealing the deal with the picks lately
loving how our D has been sealing the deal with the picks lately
That game's a coin flip. Tough call. Halftime for me...
There are some juicy looking games though, all home teams, and all getting better each week:
Indianapolis
New England
Cowboys
Baltimore Ravens
San Diego Chargers
Chargers are my best bet, @ home, giving 4 to K.C.
early on I am liking the hawks -6.5 coming off that loss and going against a rookie qb in Austin Davis.
Also not to be argumentative retro, but I like K.C with the points. Andy Reid I believe I read is 13-2 off bye weeks in his career, just that makes me have to take him and the points. I am hoping the line will work in my favor during the week i'll have to wait and see.
Carolina +7 also seem interesting to me as well even though they're in GB. Its weird sometimes how I read the lines its seems as though betters value carolina high for some reason.
Also not to be argumentative retro, but I like K.C with the points. Andy Reid I believe I read is 13-2 off bye weeks in his career, just that makes me have to take him and the points. I am hoping the line will work in my favor during the week i'll have to wait and see.
Carolina +7 also seem interesting to me as well even though they're in GB. Its weird sometimes how I read the lines its seems as though betters value carolina high for some reason.
I need Mark Ingram to play like he did the first couple weeks of the season b4 breaking his hand... contract year also... I hope he plays like he wants it and gets the carries...
I got owned by starting Asiata in every league
I got owned by starting Asiata in every league
You wanna talked getting owned SS, my 2 8team leagues are atrocious my 8leagues never pan out well for me. Also I drafted Kennan Allen on every team and he has been a total fantasy bust so far this year, after picking him off waivers he's letting me down after drafting him in the 5th-6th rounds this year.
Im doing terrible in fantasy as well, so many top players down or disappointing. eh, no one knows anything...
i dont know what all this means. are you the guy in the sportsbook with the table in front of him covered in betting slips? studying them like russell crowe was studying that window writing in a beautiful mind? have you unlocked the secret yet?
went 4 losses, one push last week. man i am bad at this. like, really bad. really really really bad.
but on the brighter side, i have enough to make one more bet. i was thinking of making some smaller bets, a triple parlay. shall i go denver (-6.5 at home vs 49ers), carolina (+7) at gb and chargers?
49ers looked good on mnf, def was solid, kaepernick was accurate on his short and medium throws. denver with their receivers and manning is different than austin davis and brian quick et al. i think denver picks on the niners 3rd and 4th def backs.
i dont know what all this means. are you the guy in the sportsbook with the table in front of him covered in betting slips? studying them like russell crowe was studying that window writing in a beautiful mind? have you unlocked the secret yet?
went 4 losses, one push last week. man i am bad at this. like, really bad. really really really bad.
but on the brighter side, i have enough to make one more bet. i was thinking of making some smaller bets, a triple parlay. shall i go denver (-6.5 at home vs 49ers), carolina (+7) at gb and chargers?
49ers looked good on mnf, def was solid, kaepernick was accurate on his short and medium throws. denver with their receivers and manning is different than austin davis and brian quick et al. i think denver picks on the niners 3rd and 4th def backs.
Those are bets I made last week. This weekend looks easy to me. Go with the hot teams, lay off the "close" games, like Denver/SF.
Patriots will kill the Jets on Thursday.
Then you have the Colts, Chargers, Ravens & Cowboys, all playing @ home with low spreads. These 5 teams are on the upswing. They are improving each week, and I will be betting on all of them. Parlays are in order. Chargers a "no-brainer" best bet. Rivers is MVP to this point.
Denver-49ers is one I wouldn't touch. If I had to bet that game, I would take the points. Go with the home teams this week. Colts, Chargers, Ravens & Cowboys is a nice parley. Mix & match.
If you have the capability, bet at halftime, after watching the first half. You get some really strange spreads at halftime. For example, the Giants/Eagles game the other night. Eagles shut the Giants out in the first half, 20-0. At halftime, the Giants were favored by 6. What???? Where did they come up with that spread? The over/under was 26 at the half. Since the game was already over, no reason for Philadelphia to try and score. Protect the ball and run the clock. So an easy "under" bet, and an easy parlay on the Eagles/Under, which I somehow missed as the site got really slow as I tried to place the bet, and bet was rejected as game had already started. Problem at halftime, is you don't have long to think.
I've been betting football over 50 years. Used to do it "professionally" years ago. I am much more conservative now. Name of the game is limit your losses. If you are wrong, change your bet @ halftime. This is a luxury I never had when younger. Now, with online books, you can bet every quarter of the game, the first half, and the second half. The spread in the first quarter is almost always half a point, regardless of the odds on the game or who's playing. The favorite gives only half a point, so, this would be a good play Thursday night, where the Pats are favored by 10, but by only half a point in the first quarter. Any game where the spread is high, you can bet the favorite in the first quarter and give up only half a point. It's simple math. Gotta play the odds. Don't let your emotions come into play. Don't bet on a team because you like them. I was born a Jet's fan, because my father bought season tickets to the Titans from the old AFL, which team became the Jets. I have seen every Jet's game ever played, but I bet against them almost every week. Right now, the Chargers are still flying under the radar, so the spreads have not gotten out of hand. To me, they are one of the "elite" teams, with an elite QB who has MVP numbers, and leads the league in passing, so I am sticking with them.
The Colts are getting better every week, as Luck starts to come into his own as an elite QB. Same with Cowboys and Romo, Pats and Brady, although the Pats have a lot of injuries. They lost Maybin, their middle linebacker, defensive captain and signal caller. This is a big loss. He is out for the year, as is their dynamic running back, Stevan Ridley. Those two losses hurt them, and Maybin's replacement only has a few days to practice before Thursday, but they are playing the Jets, who have the worst defensive backfield in football, and the best of them, their high draft pick, Dee Milner, who was supposed to replace Revis (LOL) is out for the year. Brady and Gronkowski should be playing pitch & catch. They only have to stop the Jet's running game, which Denver did easily last week by keeping 3 men in the box and keying on Ivory. Pats will try do the same, but missing Maybin may make that a more difficult task.
3 team parlay? The 3 "C"s: Colts, Cowboys & Chargers, all playing @ home. Also, don't overlook the Ravens. Flacco & the Ravens defeated the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl XLVII. Flacco was MVP. He has the strongest arm in the NFL, and he is coming off his best performance ever last week, throwing 5 TD passes in the first half. They are giving up 7 points to the Falcons. Each team scores 27 points a game, but the ravens are giving up only 16 per game, whereas the Falcons are giving up an average of over 28 points per game. Huge difference. In addition, in the last 5 games:
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Baltimore
Atlanta is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Baltimore
Atlanta is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Baltimore
Atlanta's last 5 games, they only beat Tampa Bay. The other 4 games, they lost, and failed to cover the spread as underdogs, and their schedule has been easy. They have not played an upper tier team, except Cincinnati:
10/12/2014 CHI 13-27 L -3.0/55.5
10/05/2014 at NYG 20-30 L 4.0/50.5
09/28/2014 at MIN 28-41 L -5.5/47.5
09/18/2014 TB 56-14 W -6.5/47.0
09/14/2014 at CIN 10-24 L 5.5/49.0
Raven's last 5 games. They only lost @ Indianapolis in a close game. They have covered the spread in the other 4:
10/12/2014 at TB 48-17 W -3.0/44.0
10/05/2014 at IND 13-20 L 2.5/49.5
09/28/2014 CAR 38-10 W -3.0/42.5
09/21/2014 at CLE 23-21 W -1.5/43.0
09/11/2014 PIT 26-6 W -2.5/44.5
So Ravens are an obvious pick, going by the numbers, and the fact that Flacco just had his best game. I will be parlaying them with multiple teams.
FYI: There is a tremendous amount of information on these betting sites (at least on mine), showing all the stats, both straight up and against the spread. When you look at those numbers above, how could you not play the Ravens?
Patriots will kill the Jets on Thursday.
Then you have the Colts, Chargers, Ravens & Cowboys, all playing @ home with low spreads. These 5 teams are on the upswing. They are improving each week, and I will be betting on all of them. Parlays are in order. Chargers a "no-brainer" best bet. Rivers is MVP to this point.
Denver-49ers is one I wouldn't touch. If I had to bet that game, I would take the points. Go with the home teams this week. Colts, Chargers, Ravens & Cowboys is a nice parley. Mix & match.
If you have the capability, bet at halftime, after watching the first half. You get some really strange spreads at halftime. For example, the Giants/Eagles game the other night. Eagles shut the Giants out in the first half, 20-0. At halftime, the Giants were favored by 6. What???? Where did they come up with that spread? The over/under was 26 at the half. Since the game was already over, no reason for Philadelphia to try and score. Protect the ball and run the clock. So an easy "under" bet, and an easy parlay on the Eagles/Under, which I somehow missed as the site got really slow as I tried to place the bet, and bet was rejected as game had already started. Problem at halftime, is you don't have long to think.
I've been betting football over 50 years. Used to do it "professionally" years ago. I am much more conservative now. Name of the game is limit your losses. If you are wrong, change your bet @ halftime. This is a luxury I never had when younger. Now, with online books, you can bet every quarter of the game, the first half, and the second half. The spread in the first quarter is almost always half a point, regardless of the odds on the game or who's playing. The favorite gives only half a point, so, this would be a good play Thursday night, where the Pats are favored by 10, but by only half a point in the first quarter. Any game where the spread is high, you can bet the favorite in the first quarter and give up only half a point. It's simple math. Gotta play the odds. Don't let your emotions come into play. Don't bet on a team because you like them. I was born a Jet's fan, because my father bought season tickets to the Titans from the old AFL, which team became the Jets. I have seen every Jet's game ever played, but I bet against them almost every week. Right now, the Chargers are still flying under the radar, so the spreads have not gotten out of hand. To me, they are one of the "elite" teams, with an elite QB who has MVP numbers, and leads the league in passing, so I am sticking with them.
The Colts are getting better every week, as Luck starts to come into his own as an elite QB. Same with Cowboys and Romo, Pats and Brady, although the Pats have a lot of injuries. They lost Maybin, their middle linebacker, defensive captain and signal caller. This is a big loss. He is out for the year, as is their dynamic running back, Stevan Ridley. Those two losses hurt them, and Maybin's replacement only has a few days to practice before Thursday, but they are playing the Jets, who have the worst defensive backfield in football, and the best of them, their high draft pick, Dee Milner, who was supposed to replace Revis (LOL) is out for the year. Brady and Gronkowski should be playing pitch & catch. They only have to stop the Jet's running game, which Denver did easily last week by keeping 3 men in the box and keying on Ivory. Pats will try do the same, but missing Maybin may make that a more difficult task.
3 team parlay? The 3 "C"s: Colts, Cowboys & Chargers, all playing @ home. Also, don't overlook the Ravens. Flacco & the Ravens defeated the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl XLVII. Flacco was MVP. He has the strongest arm in the NFL, and he is coming off his best performance ever last week, throwing 5 TD passes in the first half. They are giving up 7 points to the Falcons. Each team scores 27 points a game, but the ravens are giving up only 16 per game, whereas the Falcons are giving up an average of over 28 points per game. Huge difference. In addition, in the last 5 games:
Atlanta is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Atlanta is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Atlanta is 4-10-1 ATS in its last 15 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Atlanta's last 8 games when playing Baltimore
Atlanta is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games when playing Baltimore
Atlanta is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Baltimore
Atlanta's last 5 games, they only beat Tampa Bay. The other 4 games, they lost, and failed to cover the spread as underdogs, and their schedule has been easy. They have not played an upper tier team, except Cincinnati:
10/12/2014 CHI 13-27 L -3.0/55.5
10/05/2014 at NYG 20-30 L 4.0/50.5
09/28/2014 at MIN 28-41 L -5.5/47.5
09/18/2014 TB 56-14 W -6.5/47.0
09/14/2014 at CIN 10-24 L 5.5/49.0
Raven's last 5 games. They only lost @ Indianapolis in a close game. They have covered the spread in the other 4:
10/12/2014 at TB 48-17 W -3.0/44.0
10/05/2014 at IND 13-20 L 2.5/49.5
09/28/2014 CAR 38-10 W -3.0/42.5
09/21/2014 at CLE 23-21 W -1.5/43.0
09/11/2014 PIT 26-6 W -2.5/44.5
So Ravens are an obvious pick, going by the numbers, and the fact that Flacco just had his best game. I will be parlaying them with multiple teams.
FYI: There is a tremendous amount of information on these betting sites (at least on mine), showing all the stats, both straight up and against the spread. When you look at those numbers above, how could you not play the Ravens?
Miraculous Meds
Well-known member
Sorry buddy, niners are gonna get punked. Denver gonna chew em up and spit em out.
My prediction, they get beat down so bad that, Harbaugh quits coaching and opens up a khaki store.
Miraculous Meds
Well-known member
You are mile high
Damn Straight!
gonna get punked huh? the broncos barely beat the jets last week, they aren't the 2013 broncos, they have NO run game(trust me, I drafted montee ball) and if peyton gets hurried and the recievers get pressed off the line/timing thrown off their game just isn't nearly as tight as it was last season...broncos D isn't nearly as good as the names would suggest...talib isn't playing that well, neither is von or ware...they lost to the same chawks that got schooled by the cowgirls, I just don't really see what the broncos have done THIS season to make everyone think theyre sooo great again....if you're so confident in the broncos, Ive got a suggestion for you. take all the $ money that the late pick 6 vs the jets got ya and put it on the broncos to cover this week, if they do like you say and chew up and spit out the niners than you will not only have a little chunk to show for it, but you can have all of the I told ya so you want...put your money where your mouth is.
I think it will be a close game, with cox sealing up the W with a pick.
basically the 2014 broncos aren't as scary as the 2013 team imho.
I think it will be a close game, with cox sealing up the W with a pick.
basically the 2014 broncos aren't as scary as the 2013 team imho.
Miraculous Meds
Well-known member
My friend I will.
My money is going on Denver this week.
then im gonna buy stock in Harbaughs Khakis for real men.
I think Kaepernick will probably be the sales boy that rings me up at the register.
jk, man, but I do understand ur points, I just got a feeling Denver is going to get it together this week and expose SF for the holes they have in their D currently. We will see.
yep should be a good game, I know I won't be moving from the couch on sunday night lol
oh yeah and Baba- Did you not see the 80yd finesse bullet on a rope that kaep delivered to llyod? I'd say that qualifies as an accurate pass over 20 yds....just saying lol
oh yeah and Baba- Did you not see the 80yd finesse bullet on a rope that kaep delivered to llyod? I'd say that qualifies as an accurate pass over 20 yds....just saying lol
Miraculous Meds
Well-known member
I have no idea how to do that through here otherwise I would.
Save that money for the khakis!
Harbaugh gonna need ur support.
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