Isn't that going to happen, is in the process of happening anyway with the emergence of China and India as the new market of consumers that drive the world markets? I mean regardless of Berneke, The FED and printing of money?
I mean even if everything was all relatively pre 9/11 stable here and everyone was working and spending like normal, the government was in the black like it was pre 9/11 or at least substantially less in the red. The stock market was roughly at it's highest, etc. Things would still be heading this direction because of a much larger pool of consumers that has now been activated by companies shipping jobs and manufacturing overseas. Soon that market's influence will become greater and the best deals will go there. Just like Europe pays more for fuel because we are such a bigger market with a greater demand, soon we'll be the ones paying more because China and India is a much bigger market then us and people there can afford things now.
Yes that's already happening. I think what people miss when thinking about losing reserve currency status we are going to be paying siginficantly higher prices for everything. When most countries want to go buy oil they have to go buy dollars first and then oil. Because the US doesn't have to do this we pay a much lower price. Much lower. And this goes for about 85% of global traded goods I believe.
When we have to go buy another currency or whatever to buy our goods prices will be markedly higher. There are demographic issues here too. They correlate heavily into consumer spending. Plus, severe budget problems and national solvency issues, etc, etc.
You can't just ignore the FED and the liquidity expansion. It's the bubble of all bubbles. It's what is keeping the wheels on the Ponzi Bus. But this what central bankers do throughout history. They ride the currency till the wheels fall off. Humans just can't help themselves over the long term.
China has their own inflation and social unrest problems.