St. Phatty
Active member
From the relative comfort of a heated home in winter, I am watching all hell break lose in Tasmania.
You know, that big island southeast of Australia.
https://www.theguardian.com/environ...-has-arrived-while-those-in-power-laugh-at-us
Where I live, we have Dry Lightning all the time.
In recorded history, that wasn't true for Tasmania. Until the last 15 years.
Now Tasmania has dry lightning. Summer Temps 3 degrees C higher than normal. Ground fuels as dry as possible, in the 0 to 5% moisture range.
Pretty close to a worst case.
Most of the articles on the subject use the term Climate Change.
I'm not interested in debating that (unless it's for $$$).
The parts that can't be debated -
* Southern Hemisphere CO2 levels are about 3 ppm higher than last year, into the 410+ ppm range, on their way to 420 ppm.
* Fire behavior in Tasmania ... 2019 is a very difficult year.
If I was a weather scientist, one thing I would want to know very badly is, what combination of weather conditions would bring Dry Lightning to Middle & Southern California ?
We already have dry lightning in Oregon. How that works is, every time it is really hot for 5 days, by about the 6th day there will be rain, with Dry Lightning, in the summer. And that will start that year's fire season.
I was going to put this in "Well Wishes" but I figure it will inevitably get political & argumentative.
Pictures - Aussie pol making fun of Climate Change, passing lump of coal around Parliament.
Mauna Loa, Hawaii, CO2 measurements
You know, that big island southeast of Australia.
https://www.theguardian.com/environ...-has-arrived-while-those-in-power-laugh-at-us
Where I live, we have Dry Lightning all the time.
In recorded history, that wasn't true for Tasmania. Until the last 15 years.
Now Tasmania has dry lightning. Summer Temps 3 degrees C higher than normal. Ground fuels as dry as possible, in the 0 to 5% moisture range.
Pretty close to a worst case.
Most of the articles on the subject use the term Climate Change.
I'm not interested in debating that (unless it's for $$$).
The parts that can't be debated -
* Southern Hemisphere CO2 levels are about 3 ppm higher than last year, into the 410+ ppm range, on their way to 420 ppm.
* Fire behavior in Tasmania ... 2019 is a very difficult year.
If I was a weather scientist, one thing I would want to know very badly is, what combination of weather conditions would bring Dry Lightning to Middle & Southern California ?
We already have dry lightning in Oregon. How that works is, every time it is really hot for 5 days, by about the 6th day there will be rain, with Dry Lightning, in the summer. And that will start that year's fire season.
I was going to put this in "Well Wishes" but I figure it will inevitably get political & argumentative.
Pictures - Aussie pol making fun of Climate Change, passing lump of coal around Parliament.
Mauna Loa, Hawaii, CO2 measurements
