Short term trades in the stock market •$$$$$•

[Rolldaddy]

Hush,

In response to your question if you want to make some speculative investments on your own is fine to do with money that wouldn't affect your life if things went south.

But I do recommend to use an investment advisor if you want to invest a sizable amount of your net worth or retirement accounts

 

[420somewhere]

This is good advice Rep +

This is good advice Rep +

Hush,

In response to your question if you want to make some speculative investments on your own is fine to do with money that wouldn't affect your life if things went south.

But I do recommend to use an investment advisor if you want to invest a sizable amount of your net worth or retirement accounts

I actually have the bulk of my investments in a Managed Account - I get a better return with my money handled by professionals.

Just my $0.02

 

[chefboy6969]

Still waiting on those pullbacks bud I'm up 96% on mjna. 5k to 10k just like that. Wait till she goes over a dollar

It's cool i am up 700% on TRTC...up 500% EDXC..up 400% AEGY up 500% PHOT

so i was wrong sue me...we are still making money...

peace
Chefboy

 

[Scottish Research]

I made tons of money last year on a way over valued stock.

We are all fucked. This is the bubble to end all bubbles.


R.Fortune

 

[chefboy6969]

We are all fucked. This is the bubble to end all bubbles.


R.Fortune

I disagree...Yes this is a bubble But in a bubble...the strongest survive..there are WAY to many over valued companies atm..only 3 or 4 will survive IMHO...i have invested my money in those..and some other short plays..But only small amounts...100 bucks here 100 bucks there..never my rent..it's a gamble

what's going right now..is insanity...SLAP Marijuana on it..and sell stock...it's actually pretty funny..

GLTA

peace
Chefboy

 

[SpasticGramps]

This bubble is so bad because central banks leveraged all of their credibility (assets (you and I)) so that they could keep the monetary magic unicorn economy alive.

When everyone finally realizes that the underlying unicorn is dead, they lose their institutional value. Bad things happen when central banks lose their social value. But it does happen all the time in history.

I think they'll be able to beat the dead horse for a good many years before that point comes though.

 

[Aeroguerilla]

As long as they keep printing the money we are all good.

 

[idiit]

Is the Stock Market Repeating the 1929 Run Up to the Great Depression?
Posted on February 11, 2014 by WashingtonsBlog
Is History Repeating … Or Throwing a Head-Fake?

 

[Ñitrouþ]

what's up with Soros? guess he's thinking the same thing.

"Soros Put" Hits Record As Billionaire's Downside Hedge Rises By 154% in Q4 To $1.3 Billion

http://www.zerohedge.com/news/2014-...naires-downside-hedge-rises-154-q4-13-billion

 

[Stonefree69]

SELL the peaks, it's rebounding a bit! Easy money. Abercrombie To Cut Prices As Downward Spiral Continues - http://www.huffingtonpost.com/2014/...ces_n_4859883.html?ncid=fcbklnkushpmg00000063

Why (if you don't know already):

Abercrombie & Fitch Gets a Brand Readjustment #FitchTheHomeless

[YOUTUBEIF]O95DBxnXiSo[/YOUTUBEIF]


1 month chart

1 year chart

 

[Stonefree69]

Like I said above post Monday ANF will be right near it's peak again - BEST time to sell. Short stops just in case it climbs a bit higher - and more the reason to sell as the cliff gets higher.

BTW markets will be down Monday - but everyone's already in the elevator. Long term bull still in effect - buy the dips. When everyone's in the elevator - just take the stairs.

 

[Jbomber79]

Any penny stock investors here?

 

[SpasticGramps]

Rough week. No one wanted to be holding going into the weekend with the Crimera referendum on Sunday. Russia will have successfully annexed Crimera and posted itself on the eastern Ukraine border. While that situation is giving the market jitters, a one long running less talked about situation has popped back up on the front pages last week.

China.

More specifically China's shadowbanking system. The government looks like it is ready to let some of the corrupt bankrupt trusts default. It's shadowbanking system is showing signs of freezing, again.

Shadowbanking system collapse = institutional collapse as we learned in 2008. Maybe they got one more BIG PRINT left in them? Chinese government is saying no more bailouts though. Time to clear the system.

China's property trusts face rising default risks South China Morning Post

The mainland's property trusts face rising default risks as a former central bank adviser dubs real estate the biggest threat to the economy.

The trust funds must repay 634 billion yuan (HK$802 billion) of debt this year, up 50 per cent from 2013, estimates from Haitong Securities showed. The yield on the 2014 notes of Wuhan-based Myhome Real Estate Development jumped 185 basis points in the past year to 7.78 per cent. That compares with 3.13 per cent on property bonds globally, according to Bank of America Merrill Lynch indices.

The real estate market was "the root of all risks" as falling prices eroded local governments' ability to raise funds for spending that helped the economy, said Li Daokui, former People's Bank of China adviser.

Property shares slid to a 16-month low last week after Industrial Bank suspended a riskier form of financing for developers.

"The second wave of defaults may be in property trust products, following the first wave in the coal-mining sector," said David Cui, China strategist at Bank of America Merrill Lynch.

At least 10 mainland cities, many of them provincial capitals, have tightened local property policies since November, with Shenzhen, Shanghai and Guangzhou raising the minimum down payments for second homes to 70 per cent from 60 per cent.

"The probability of a default in third or fourth-tier cities' property trust products is high," said Li Ning, an analyst at Haitong. "Some property companies may see short-term cash-flow disruption because of the sluggish sales and the high debt repayment burden."

A total of 452 property collective trust products would be redeemed this year, totalling 131.6 billion yuan, Hwabao Securities estimated in a January report.

This article appeared in the South China Morning Post print edition as Property trusts face rising risks of defaults

 

[seeingthings]

Any penny stock investors here?

Sho Nuff!

Up 30% on UTRM. MYEC is a gold mine. 0.03 a share for MYEC now, forecasts are showing a $75 pps in the future (I'll believe it when I see it!). In a dip right now, should be blowing up again soon! I'm also in ERBB, MJNA and GYST.

As I'm sure you're aware. Penny stocks are very high risk. I only play with what I can afford to lose. IMO, I'd rather lose $500 in the markets on an educated decision than blow it at the casino.

 

[SpasticGramps]

Yellen had her big first press conference today. She mumbled and bumbled around and explained how the weather is to blame for slow economic growth. Absolutely fascinating.

Anyway, something to keep an eye out for in the future is the unwinding of China's credit bubble.

Morgan Stanley has called China's "Minsky Moment". Minsky was a Neo-Keynesian from the 1930's that developed a model that is similar to Austrian economics in that it tries to grasp the concept of ponzi finance and its destructive nature on society. The "Minsky Moment" is the moment when the ponzi scheme starts to unwind. The moment everyone realizes their bankrupt. The POOF.

Lehman Brother's collapse was a glimpse of the US's coming Minsky Moment. We've delayed it, as everyone else has, by wanton mindless money printing.

The US has printed $5 trillion. China has $16 trillion on the table (who knows how big the shadow credit market is). Their bubble is massive and it's starting to unwind as these huge trusts default on their obligations. Government is still standing firm on no bailouts.

Morgan Stanley is not impressed.

China's "Minsky Moment" Is Here, Morgan Stanley Finds

From Morgan Stanley's Cyril Moulle-Berteaux and Sergei Parmenov

We have described in detail over the past two years how we believe China’s twin excesses (excessive investment funded by excessive debt) will inevitably unwind, causing a substantial slowdown in China’s economy, significantly below market expectations. In recent weeks, a trip to the region and further research into China’s shadow banking system have convinced us that China is approaching its “Minsky Moment,” (Display 1) which increases the chances of a disorderly unwind of China’s excesses. The efficiency with which credit generates economic activity is already deteriorating, as more investments are made in non-productive projects and more debt is being used to repay old debts.

Based on our analysis, our baseline case is that China may slow from the current level of 7.7% Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth to 5.0% over the next two years. A disorderly unwind could take Chinese growth down to 4% in a shorter time frame with potentially disastrous consequences for levered Chinese assets (banks, property) and the entire commodity supply chain (commodity stocks, equipment stocks, commodity-sensitive countries and their currencies).

The consensus is more optimistic and expects China’s economy to grow by 7.4% in 2014 and 7.2% in 2015. Most market participants have concluded that the Chinese economy, despite its excesses, will slow only moderately as the government successfully manages to “soft-land” the credit and investment boom and that, as a result, the impact on global GDP growth could be moderate and is not likely to derail the global developed-market-led expansion. However, one of the more controversial conclusions of our analysis is that global economic growth could be impacted severely enough to cause a global earnings recession.

Hyman Minsky was a neo-Keynesian economist who developed a theory called the Financial Instability Hypothesis, similar to the Austrian school of thought, about the impact of credit cycles on the economy. In his 1993 paper entitled “The Financial Instability Hypothesis,” Minsky identified three financing regimes that economies can operate under: the first, which he called hedge finance, is a regime in which borrowers have sufficient cash flows to meet “their contractual obligations,” i.e. interest payments and principal repayment, usually by having a large equity component in their capital structure; the second, speculative finance, is a regime under which borrowers have cash flows that are sufficient to pay interest but not to repay principal, i.e. they must roll over their debts; the third, Ponzi finance, is a regime in which borrowers have insufficient cash flows to pay either principal or interest and therefore must either borrow or sell assets to make interest payments.

The wheels on the ponzi bus go round and round......

 

[SpasticGramps]

There seems to be a rash of dead bankers in the past 12 weeks or so. Popping up all over the place.

Jumping out of windows, nail guns to the face, or whatnot. The BitCoin CEO in Singapore too. A couple here and there is probably normal. I mean the institution rewards psychotic behavior on an institutional level. But 12-13 in a in a few weeks and people are starting to take notice.

These professional institutional bankers and traders are very bright in their own right. Most I believe are really starting to understand that the markets are just playing musical chairs. Everyone is just trying to make that last dollar in the bubble, find that greater fool. The House of Cards built on lies and scams is getting kind of wobbly IMO.

DIJA and SP seems to break new records daily for how long? On and on. Things are so great the bankers are jumping out of windows. Literally. They'll be doing it in herds when S&P hits 2,100.

Bankers' Deaths Shine Light on Stress in Industry, Tunnel Vision Bloomberg

Coroners in London are preparing to investigate two apparent suicides as unexpected deaths by finance workers around the world have raised concerns about mental health and stress levels in the industry.

The inquest into the death of William Broeksmit, 58, a retired Deutsche Bank AG (DBK) risk executive found dead in his London home in January, will start tomorrow. The inquest for Gabriel Magee, a 39-year-old vice president in technology operations at JPMorgan Chase (JPM) & Co., who died after falling from the firm’s 33-story London headquarters, is scheduled for late May.

The suicides were followed by others around the world, including at JPMorgan in Hong Kong, as well as Mike Dueker, the chief economist at Seattle-based Russell Investment Management Co. The financial world’s aggressive, hard-working culture may be hurting itself, professionals advising on mental health in the industry say.

4th Financial Services Executive Found Dead; "From Self-Inflicted Nail-Gun Wounds"

Richard Talley, 57, and the company he founded in 2001 were under investigation by state insurance regulators at the time of his death late Tuesday, an agency spokesman confirmed Thursday.

It was unclear how long the investigation had been ongoing or its primary focus.

A coroner's spokeswoman Thursday said Talley was found in his garage by a family member who called authorities. They said Talley died from seven or eight self-inflicted wounds from a nail gun fired into his torso and head.

Also unclear is whether Talley's suicide was related to the investigation by the Colorado Division of Insurance, which regulates title companies.

Dow 20,000 here we come.

1. William Broeksmit, a 58-year-old former senior executive for Deutsche Bank AG, was found dead in at home after apparently taking his own life in South Kensington in central London, on January 26

2. Karl Slym, the 51 year old Tata Motors managing director was discovered dead on the fourth floor of the Shangri-La hotel in Bangkok on January 27


3. Gabriel Magee, the 39-year-old JP Morgan employee, whodied after plummeting from the roof of the JP Morgan European headquarters in London’s Canary Wharf on January 27


4. Mike Dueker, the 50-year-old chief economist of US bank Russell Investments was discovered dead near to the Tacoma Narrows Bridge in Washington State on January 31


5. Richard Talley, the 57 year old founder of American Title Services in Centennial, Colorado, was found dead on February 4 after apparently shooting himself with a nail gun.


6. Tim Dickenson, who was a U.K.-based communications director at Swiss Re AG, died in late January, in as yet unexplained circumstances


7. Ryan Henry Crane, the 37 year old executive at JP Morgan died in an alleged suicide just a few weeks ago on February 3 at his home in Connecticut


8. Li Junjie, 33-year-old banker in Hong Kong jumped from the JP Morgan HQ in Hong Kong on February 19


9. James Stuart, the former National Bank of Commerce CEO was found dead in Scottsdale, Arizona on the morning of February 19. The cause of death has yet to be announced


10. Autumn Radtke, the CEO of First Meta, a digital currency exchange firm who was found dead on February 28 outside her Singapore apartment.


11. Ed Reilly, 47, a divorced father-of-three who worked as a trader at Vertical Group in Manhattan. He jumped in front of a Long Island Rail Road train on March 11


12. Kenneth Bellando, 28, an investment banker at Levy Capital Partners jumped off his building in Manhattan’s Upper East Side on March 12, 2014

 

[stinkyigloo]

Sho Nuff!

Up 30% on UTRM. MYEC is a gold mine. 0.03 a share for MYEC now, forecasts are showing a $75 pps in the future (I'll believe it when I see it!). In a dip right now, should be blowing up again soon! I'm also in ERBB, MJNA and GYST.

As I'm sure you're aware. Penny stocks are very high risk. I only play with what I can afford to lose. IMO, I'd rather lose $500 in the markets on an educated decision than blow it at the casino.

MYEC went from 2.5c to around 7c in the past week. Madness

 

[SpasticGramps]

Any thoughts on Michael Lewis's new storm of a book, "Flash Boys"? Topic seems to be dominating the financial propaganda networks recently (CNBC and Bloomberg few mentions on the MSM 24/7 networks Fox Business etc).

High Frequency Trading + trillions in digitized funny money from the Fed (QE) and we're all rich, right? Or so the scam goes. Record high stock market valuations and lamest recovery in modern history. No bubbles to see here. Move on.

Traders thoughts? Government (Goldman) Sachs is moving (or at least some of their whale clients are) moving significant portions of their trades to the IEX exchange which negates HFT algorithms. When GS starts making major moves out of something it's worth nothing. FBI investigations coming down etc etc.

I'm focusing on the market paradox. Good fundamental news is bad news for the market cause that equals "Taper On". If next job print is over 275K I reckon the market reacts to the downside (via Credit Suiisse analysis)

Stay Frosty

 

[Stonefree69]

There seems to be a rash of dead bankers in the past 12 weeks or so. Popping up all over the place.

Jumping out of windows, nail guns to the face, or whatnot. The BitCoin CEO in Singapore too. A couple here and there is probably normal. I mean the institution rewards psychotic behavior on an institutional level. But 12-13 in a in a few weeks and people are starting to take notice.

These professional institutional bankers and traders are very bright in their own right. Most I believe are really starting to understand that the markets are just playing musical chairs. Everyone is just trying to make that last dollar in the bubble, find that greater fool. The House of Cards built on lies and scams is getting kind of wobbly IMO.

DIJA and SP seems to break new records daily for how long? On and on. Things are so great the bankers are jumping out of windows. Literally. They'll be doing it in herds when S&P hits 2,100.

Bankers' Deaths Shine Light on Stress in Industry, Tunnel Vision Bloomberg4th Financial Services Executive Found Dead; "From Self-Inflicted Nail-Gun Wounds"Dow 20,000 here we come.

Guess like Futures & Commodities it's a "zero sum gain" overall. That's why I went gold panning years ago, although only recreational and paid for my plate of beans I was really contributing to the economy and actually having fun. Nowadays I also do woodworking and electrical work as well, and I'm much better off.

But yeah if your in stocks right now just ride the wave up for now. Easier said than done, just wait for dips and watch your stops...

 

[SpasticGramps]

Wow. Momo killing fields over on the NASDAQ right now. FB, AMZN, NFLX, TWTR all in bear market territory from their highs. NASDAQ down 2.5% and couple flash crashes here and there. BATS market broke for a while. It's no wonder people are flooding to IEX to route trades. What a joke.

And Nasdaq joins the party too.

• NASDAQ-BX DECLARES SELF-HELP AGAINST CHICAGO STOCK EXCH

All those curious what the market-wide circuit breaker is when the S&P "crashes" by more than 1%? It's the entire market declaring self-help against itself, as algos go haywire and try to sell everything at the same time, only to realize they are merely frontrunning each other.

Even Cramer was on this morning calling a top to the momo masturbation bubble. If Cramer says your about to get fleeced you know the party is over in Momo land for a little while.